Best Bets Week 2 Nfl
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- This is not the week the Steelers want to face one of the best defenses in the NFL. Pick: Colts -1.5, Hines over 21.5 receiving yards, Pascal over 3.5 receptions Chicago Bears (-7.5, 47) at.
- Dolphins (10-5) at Bills (12-3). RANDALL THE HANDLE: NFL Week 17 selections Back to video. LINE: BUFFALO by 2. The Bills presently own the No. 2 seed in the AFC.
Not a good start to last week, folks. A 1-3 record is not where you want to be after the first week, but that’s why we said to ease into the NFL season when it comes to picks.
The Week 2 advice is a bit different than Week 1 although it still kind of has to do with gambling decision making. If we say to wade into shallow waters during Week 1then Week 2 really has to do with overreactions. Lines will go haywire based on one game of football. The Cowboys are unbeatable. The Patriots are going to beat the Dolphins by 20. The Falcons stink and the Bears may never score an offensive touchdown. Those are the things books want us to think. They want us to believe that whatever happened Week 1 will happen again in Week 2. Teams will be overvalued. Totals will be too low or too high. We can make some decisions and we should stick to those decisions — such as never betting on Joe Flacco as a favorite ever again — but other decisions we have to make thinking if the book wants us to bet one way or the other.
For the newcomers, this isn’t a normal betting article. I won’t pick every game. I will actually use over/unders for game totals and team totals. I’ll throw in a prop bet if it’s interesting and on the board. I will definitely throw in teasers and parlays.
A quick reminder on teasers: On two-team teasers we get six points to play with. Let’s use completely hypothetical Pittsburgh v. Cleveland line that is listed Pittsburgh -9, and an Atlanta v. Tampa Bay line that is listed Atlanta – 7 as an example. That means we can move that line six points either way — so Steelers -3 or Cleveland +15. To do so we must move another line as well. In this case, our teaser bet is Pittsburgh -3 and Atlanta -1. We must win both bets. Meaning if Pittsburgh were to win by three — a push — we’d lose. If Atlanta wins by one, same thing. We must win each side. Teaser bets are also known as sucker’s bets because they are actually pretty difficult to hit. Everyone puts money on it thinking it’s an easy win and then they lose. We have crumpled betting tickets in our hands and maybe we use them to wipe the tears. Teasers come in the six-point, 10-point, and 14-point variety. We can do three-team six-point teasers for better odds. We will always explain it.
Here’s my normal caveat: please, please ease into the first weeks — if you’re hypothetically betting on games. Teams can surprise you. Teams will disappoint you. It’s tough to get a good handle on the NFL until at least five to six weeks into the season. Find out what teams you like and what teams you don’t like and stick to it. By the middle of the season, Las Vegas will have adjusted and there won’t be a chance to sneak in some value here and there.
And remember, this is just for fun. Because watching football is supposed to be fun. Alright, let’s get started.
Home teams in CAPS, odds, as always, lines used are the mode listed here. Games will be listed at -110 unless denoted otherwise.
Well, that didn’t go so hot.
After a profitable 2019 season, we were 0-for-3 here in our 2020 Week 1 underdog selections as the Carolina Panthers (by a point), Cleveland Browns (23.5 points) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7.5 points) all fell short of covering. And, yes, “falling short” hardly covers it with the Browns.
Cleveland will try to pick itself up off the mat this week and so will we. Here are your Week 2 NFL underdog bets, utilizing the early Thursday lines from BetMGM.
NFL underdog best bets: Week 2
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Philadelphia Eagles (+1.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams
Recency bias is evident here as a Philly team, coming off an ugly 27-17 road loss as a favorite in Washington, is a home dog against an LA squad coming off a hard-fought home win in primetime over the Dallas Cowboys.
Injuries have hit the Eagles hard so far, but things are looking up on that front with RB Miles Sanders and OT Lane Johnson appearing on track to return and play Sunday after missing the opener. Johnson’s presence is more important than you might think as Philly is 36-17 with the All-Pro left tackle in the lineup during head coach Doug Pederson’s tenure and 6-12 without him, including last week when Washington racked up eight sacks in the comeback win.
The Rams are anything but road slouches after going 6-2 against the spread away from home a year ago, but they’re traveling cross country to play an early game Sunday at 10 a.m. Pacific time against a smarting Eagles bunch in its home opener.
Go with Philly to cover (+1.5, -110) and win outright (+100).
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Detroit Lions (+6) at Green Bay Packers
The Lions opened in true Lions fashion last week as they blew a 23-6 fourth-quarter lead at home and saw rookie RB D’Andre Swift drop a potential winning touchdown reception late in a 27-23 defeat against the Chicago Bears.
Packers QB Aaron Rodgers, meanwhile, was carving up the host Minnesota Vikings in Week 1’s other NFC North head-to-head matchup, throwing for 364 yards and four TDs in a 43-34 victory.
A quick glance at the recent Packers-Lions series, though, shows Detroit surprisingly has had the upper hand, winning four of the last six meetings outright and going 6-0 ATS.
Green Bay squeaked out 23-22 and 23-20 wins a season ago, and we’re banking on a similar result Sunday at Lambeau Field (sadly) sans 81,000 cheese-headed fans.
Best Bets For Week 2 Nfl
Take the Lions and the 6 points (-110).
Las Vegas Raiders (+5.5) vs. New Orleans Saints
Going from Lambeau, the league’s second-oldest stadium, to one of the newest, the Silver & Black open Allegiant Stadium with a Monday Night Football matchup against the Saints.
The “Death Star” will be devoid of fans as well, but expect head coach Jon Gruden’s crew to be fired up nonetheless to christen its shiny new Sin City digs.
The Saints were tough on the road with 6-1 straight up and ATS marks a season ago, but it wouldn’t be a shocker to see a little bit of letdown following last Sunday’s big divisional home win over Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Bucs.
Go with the Raiders +5.5 (-110) to keep things within the number.
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Nfl Best Bets Week 2
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Best Bets Week 2 Nfl 2020
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